Why You Shouldn’t Trust Polls

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Polling were once a trusted tool to gauge public opinion, but recent mishaps have tarnished the practice. So why are polls so inaccurate?

Learn More:
Romney 49%, Obama 48% in Gallup’s Final Election Survey
http://www.gallup.com/poll/158519/romney-obama-gallup-final-election-survey.aspx
“President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney are within one percentage point of each other in Gallup’s final pre-election survey of likely voters, with Romney holding 49% of the vote, and Obama 48%.”

What’s the Matter With Polling?
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/21/opinion/sunday/whats-the-matter-with-polling.html
“OVER the past two years, election polling has had some spectacular disasters.”

The challenges of polling when fewer people are available to be polled
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/07/21/the-challenges-of-polling-when-fewer-people-are-available-to-be-polled/
“Around the world, pollsters have had some high-profile flops lately.”

Political Polling’s Unfavorables Are on the Rise
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/10/gallup-poll-2016-presidential-primary-fivethirtyeight/409531/
“Even as election junkies become more focused on opinion data, the quality of that data seems to be getting worse.”

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